The “exit poll of polls” for the 2026 Assembly elections across West Bengal, Assam, Tamil Nadu, Kerala, and Puducherry suggests a diverse and evolving political landscape, with no single party dominating across all regions.
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In West Bengal, the contest appears to be extremely close, with projections indicating a neck-and-neck fight between the Trinamool Congress (TMC) and the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP). Several surveys point toward a possible hung assembly or a razor-thin margin, making it one of the most unpredictable battlegrounds this election season.
Assam, on the other hand, looks more decisive. Most exit polls indicate that the BJP-led NDA is on course to retain power comfortably, reinforcing its stronghold in the state under Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma.
Kerala may witness a shift in power, with projections favouring the Congress-led UDF over the ruling Left Democratic Front (LDF). This suggests a possible return of Congress to power in the southern state.
Tamil Nadu remains a closely contested arena. While some surveys suggest that the DMK alliance led by M.K. Stalin could retain power, others highlight a tight race with the AIADMK-BJP alliance. The entry of actor-turned-politician Vijay has added a new dimension, potentially influencing younger voters and making the outcome less predictable.
Overall, the combined exit poll projections indicate a mix of continuity and change—BJP likely consolidating its position in Assam, Congress gaining momentum in Kerala, and intense battles unfolding in West Bengal and Tamil Nadu. The final results, scheduled to be announced on May 4, will determine how closely these projections match reality.